Drudge has what he says are early exit poll results. Initially he had Ohio in Obama's column but now it's in "toss-up"--I wonder how many panicked calls from Boston that took.
Roger Simon (@politicoroger) notes on Twitter that in the past exit polls have overcounted Dems.
CNN reporting that the reason Romney dashed back to Ohio again today is because their internal polls are showing him trailing Obama by five points.
CNN calls Manchin winning the Senate seat in West Virginia.
CNN getting a "quick reaction" from the campaigns; I'm going to go out on a limb and guess that each side will express confidence.
CNN's Jessica Yellin says that if Obama fails to win popular vote it will create "a governing challenge." Huh? Will Republicans refuse to cooperate? #nothingnew
Romney told reporters he's only written one speech tonight--a victory speech. I guess he delegated the concession speech to his speechwriter
With 50 percent reporting n Florida, Obama up 51-49. With 9 percent reporting in Ohio, Obama up 59-40.
Fox News's Kirsten Powers says white share of electorate in exits is 73 percent--if that proves true, it's *huge* news for Obama.
Why is that huge news for Obama, Robert?
John King on CNN: If Richmond remains in Romney's column, Romney will win Virginia. Right now they've got it Romney 57, Obama 42. Good sign!
With 17 percent reporting in Virginia, George Allen leads Tim Kaine by 52-48. But northern Virginia hasn't reported yet, and that's where Kaine's strength comes from.
Paul: Because four years ago the white vote was at 75 percent share of the electorate, IIRC. The Obama campaign was counting on a more diverse electorate this year (smaller share of whites) while Romney and the Republicans assumed that the minority share overperformed four years ago because of enthusiasm for Obama. They thought with less enthusiasm this year the electorate would be more white. Given the huge margins Obama runs up with nonwhites, if the electorate is less white it's very bad news for Romney. Time will tell.
CNN's Gergen says later exits have Florida and Pennsylvania moving toward Obama--now leading in Florida and building a bigger lead in Pennsylvania.
Mary Kate: Real Clear Politics's @SeanTrende, who knows demographics vote-counting cold, Tweets: "Would be very surprised at this point if Romney wins VA. Not getting the swings he needs."
It is clearly still very early but a few things strike me as important: The exit polls do show that, in contrast to 2010, African Americans, Hispanics and Asian Americans are voting in greater proportions---and even more than even 2008. That is clearly good news for Obama. The white vote has declined from 2008, not good for Romney. Second, the predictions of young people between 18-29 losing their enthusiasm and voting in much lower percentages than 2008 has not occurred.
It will be interesting to see how big a role potential Military cuts ultimately play in Virginia, which has up to 130,000 defense-related jobs.
Obama up to 88.5 on inTrade--nearing the NateSilversphere.
Fox projects Wisconsin for Obama. THUMP. Another brick in the firewall falls into place.
(Of course maybe Fox is just teasing libs--preparing to recall these calls in a couple of hours.)
CNN is reporting a 636 vote difference in Florida out of 6 million votes. Wow!
NBC just called Indiana Senate for Joe Donnelly over Richard Mourdock. Best win of the night. How are you feeling about turning out Dick Lugar now, Indiana Tea Party?
CNN now projects Warren in Massachusetts and Donnelly in Indian, too. Indiana seat moves to Dem column for first time since 1976.
Years ago we worked to elect Joe Donnelly to the Indana State Senate and then did independent work in his last House race in 2010. He is going to be a great U.S. Senator. Very proud of the campaign he ran and the work of SKDKnickerbocker who did a wonderful job.
Mourdock going down brings to four the number of Senate seats the Republicans have lost in the last two cycles because of fringe candidates.
Polls closing at 10: Iowa, Nevada, Utah, Idaho and Montana. CNN is reporting that turnout is so high in Iowa that they've run out of ballots, and are photocopying ballots, which will have to be reviewed by hand.
NBC calls New Hampshire for Obama, making Romney's path narrower and narrower.
Mitt Romney carries Utah. It's pretty encouraging that we had the first major Mormon candidate in 2012, and it didn't become an issue in the election. It makes me wonder if the same would have been true if the Democrat had been Mormon and the heavily Christian / Evangelical GOP had been in opposition.
FOX now projects Obama is re-elected.
Fox has projected that Barack Obama has been re-elected as president.
And yet Rasmussen will still issue a tracking poll tomorrow with Romney ahead.
Now, the Fox spin begins: The Obama campaign assassinated Romney's character as a vulture capitalist, Romney didn't fight back hard enough or fast enough. Britt Hume: Obama has just done better than any of us expected. Juan Williams: Plus six for Democrats was exactly on target. Suburban housewives made the call tonight for Obama -- when you ask people if you think the economy is good or not so good, it was still Obama 55-42. Better to handle unemployment. I think Americans see the economy starting to recover. Americans still blaming George Bush for what's going on in this country.
More Fox: One camp will say Romney ran way too far to the right. Other group says Republicans don't do as well when they nominate a moderate -- McCain in 2008, Romney now. A candidate that could have pushed stronger contrasts would have done better.
And still more Fox: I was sure Obama was going to win. The best campaign wins, and the Obama campaign was better. They knew the electorate, they knew where their voters were, they knew their voters, and they turned them out. Chris Wallace: I've got to tell you the Romney camp has real doubts with our call for Ohio.
So I guess people will still pay attention to Nate Silver after this evening?
Now, Karl Rove on Fox is saying that Ohio has closed to 911 votes and it hasn't been settled, at 74 percent of the vote. 2000 is calling . . . they want their last-minute recall back.
Colorado just called for Obama. Which means that even if Virginia, Florida, and Ohio were to go Romney's way, he'd still lose. It's over.
Down-ballot, former Reps. Alan Grayson of Florida, Tammy Duckworth of Illionois, and Dan Maffei of New York, both Democrats, are returning to the House. Controversial GOP Reps. Michele Bachmann and Allen West are fighting for their political lives as is scandal-tarred Massachusetts Democratic Rep. John Tierney. Utah Republican Mia Love is trailing incumbent Democrat Jim Matheson.
And meanwhile Colorado has legalized marijuana. What a night.
OK finally here come POTUS and FLOTUS.
And, what?, FFOTUS? FDOTUS? I'm really tired.
The president strikes the right notes in reaching out to Romney and his supporters.
Obama mentions global warming for the first time in the campaign.
This is a good speech because it hit some very good notes, whether about the arguments of democracy or the distinction between what can be done for us but what can be done by us. He also made the right noises about reaching across the aisle. Most of all, he recaptured a bit of the poetry and song of '08.